Update: After completing my condition inspection over the weekend, I went flying and noted that my #3 EGT was suddenly spiking to over 1500* and then down to 13XX* ... then back over 1500* ... and back down.
Of course, I didn't bother to pull the probes when I had my cowling off, but now I intend to. My initial thought is that it's just a bad connection, and replacing the connector will solve the problem. However, after reviewing this thread, I'll be very surprised if my probe isn't burned to a crisp! Yeah, it's #3.
I'm planning to pull them later this week and see what I find. Stay tuned ...
After seeing your photo of the probe, and reading the comments, you do not have a EGT probe or connector issue at all. Well from my reading your comments anyway.
I will bet you a few beers, the problem is spark plugs.
What I suggest you do and if you do not have an all cylinder monitor (I assume you do by the numbers posted) this gets a bit hard, run the endine at say 1200-300 rpm, and lean it aggressively, then switch to one mag, watch the EGT's, they should ALL rise together, then go back....let it all settle and do the other mag, they too should ALL rise.
Do this in flight while running LOP or as lean as you can get. It will uncover which cylinder has a crook plug. The crook plug is causing the random "rising" EGT just the same as when you do the test above, whil running with both mags the cylinder that effectively runs on one at times is the one with the rising and falling EGT.
Now pull all your plugs, have them cleaned and regapped to around 16 tho and pressure tested. Or just clean and gap them yourself. Do this every 100 hrs.
I just did mine today (after 135hrs) and the gaps were up to 20-22 thou not 15-16. Engine is back to smooth again when LOP.
Your D120/180 is your best friend when you learn to understand what it all tells you!
How old are your plugs and when were they serviced last?
DB
PS.....the actual EGT number is almost meaningless, its the trends that matter.