Quote:
Originally Posted by B737NG
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I haven't used a program to do the RAIM prediction before flight, but I've done hundreds of RAIM predictions using on board GPS systems. In my experience, there is very poor correlation between the RAIM prediction and whether you will or will not actually have RAIM at the FAF. I've had many cases where the RAIM prediction said there would be a RAIM problem, but we continued with GPS as the weather was VMC, only to find that we did have good RAIM at the FAF. I've had many other cases where the RAIM prediction said everything was OK, yet we did not have RAIM at the FAF.
The RAIM prediction algorithms look at where the satellites will be when you reach the FAF, and see if there will be enough satellites, with good geometry (i.e. the available satellites cannot all be in one area of the sky). The prediction does not use satellites that will be low on the horizon, as it is assumed that your antenna might not be able to pick them up. But, in fact, the GPS antenna usually does receive the satellites that are low on the horizon, so the actual number of satellites available would be higher than predicted, which allows the GPS to have RAIM when it was predicted to not be available.
I believe that many cases of no RAIM at the FAF are due to something interfering with the GPS signals, and this interference cannot be predicted by the RAIM prediction program.