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03-16-2020, 04:27 PM
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Asheville, NC
Posts: 2,692
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cderk
They are no where near having a vaccine... and probably wont for at least a year. Not sure where you got that misinformation.
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Trials by Moderna started today. Google it. But to your point, it's still a long way away. Both points in this thread are correct. Vaccine in test but a long way to wide availability.
__________________
Bill Pendergrass
ME/AE '82
RV-7A: Flying since April 15, 2012. 850 hrs
YIO-360-M1B, mags, CS, GRT EX and WS H1s & A/P, Navworx
Unpainted, polished....kinda'... Eyeballin' vinyl really hard.
Yeah. The boss got a Silhouette Cameo 4 Xmas 2019.
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03-16-2020, 04:36 PM
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Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: Covid Country-SoCal
Posts: 1,081
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My WAG is that as the airlines slow down, they are going to stop needing to fill the pilot shortage, which will trickle down to the flight schools losing customers, which will trickle down to GA aircraft becoming more available.
If the work slow-down continues, there will be less $$$ available for "discretionary" spending, which will indeed hamper the EAB market. At least until the stock market recovers, and then we will see.
-Marc
I sure am glad I'm not running for office in the upcoming election! 
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RV-10
N814RV
2020 Donation Made
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03-16-2020, 05:35 PM
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Posts: 1,558
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Actually, they DO have a vaccine, but you?re right, it won?t be available to the public until next year. Human testing is starting now - way ahead of normal. What someone said about airplanes being available because of seniors (like me) checking out, while funny, is probably true, at least to a small degree. So, just to give some advance notice, I have an RV4 that is probably one of the best built RV?s I?ve seen. I?ve built three RV?s and owned 5, so I know what I?m talking about. I?ve done numerous upgrades to this bird, and I?m always amazed at the quality of the build that the elderly gentleman did on this airplane over a 22 year period. This gent was a machinist, and it shows. It?s not for sale, and never will be as long as I?m alive, but my widow might make notice if the COVID gets me. Just a heads up.....
__________________
SH
RV6/2001 built/sold 2005
RV8 Fastback/2008 built/sold 2015
RV4/bought 2016/sold/2017
RV8/2018 built/Sold(sadly)
RV4/bought 2019 Flying
Cincinnati, OH/KHAO
JAN2020
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03-16-2020, 07:58 PM
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Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Lake Havasu City AZ
Posts: 2,393
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Virus
Only one case in Alaska as of a couple hours ago. That person was just arrived from out of state. That at least suggests that the virus could be affected by extreme cold as well as temperatures over 80 degrees.
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03-17-2020, 06:32 AM
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Join Date: Dec 2018
Location: Boston, MA
Posts: 23
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What spurred my question is that I?m currently stuck in the containment zone in Madrid, Spain. My return flight was cancelled, and I?ll probably be here for a couple more weeks. Over here we?re about a week behind Italy in terms of the public health impacts, and the US probably about a week behind us.
In Italy the healthcare system has been so severely stressed by the volume of cases that it?s all but collapsed. If you show up seeking care and are above a certain age, or have preexisting conditions, they just turn you away. Wards are full, healthcare providers are sick, and ventilators are in very short supply.
With the US having about half the number of hospital beds per capital that Italy has, I think it?s going to be a huge disaster. The only thing that will avert the crisis in my opinion is a total lockdown. But of course that?s not going to happen.
From South Korean data, we know that the most commonly infected by far are young adults. We also know that the deaths are largely people above 60 years old and those with pre-existing health conditions. We young adults treating this crisis as a regular work week, or evening a spring break, are the carriers that will kill our sick and elderly family members.
Don?t underestimate the gravity of this disease. Now is not the time for optimism.
To the younger folks on here, protect the sick and elderly by staying home. To the older folks on here, take the all precautions necessary to avoid becoming a statistic that makes it cheaper for me to buy an RV in a few months.
Stay healthy!
Steve
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03-17-2020, 07:48 AM
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Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Victoria, BC, Canada
Posts: 3,932
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I bought my -6 from the US in late 2009, after the housing crisis in the US had people panicking and getting rid of their toys. The person I bought from wasn't financially strapped, but the market had depressed prices about 30% from when I started looking in early 2009.
So i'd say yes, it's going to be a good time to buy a used plane if you are patient. Watch prices and see if they start coming down.
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Rob Prior
1996 RV-6 "Tweety" C-FRBP (formerly N196RV)
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03-17-2020, 07:52 AM
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Join Date: Dec 2018
Location: Boston, MA
Posts: 23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Snowflake
I bought my -6 from the US in late 2009, after the housing crisis in the US had people panicking and getting rid of their toys. The person I bought from wasn't financially strapped, but the market had depressed prices about 30% from when I started looking in early 2009.
So i'd say yes, it's going to be a good time to buy a used plane if you are patient. Watch prices and see if they start coming down.
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Thanks!
I certainly hope the real impacts of this are milder than projected.
<SNIP>
Steve
Last edited by rv7boy : 03-18-2020 at 10:05 PM.
Reason: Rules...setting up the food truck in Doug’s restaurant parking lot.
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03-17-2020, 08:19 AM
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Posts: 1,558
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The RV’s I’ve sold (4) have all sold quickly <SNIP>.
__________________
SH
RV6/2001 built/sold 2005
RV8 Fastback/2008 built/sold 2015
RV4/bought 2016/sold/2017
RV8/2018 built/Sold(sadly)
RV4/bought 2019 Flying
Cincinnati, OH/KHAO
JAN2020
Last edited by rv7boy : 03-17-2020 at 07:34 PM.
Reason: Really? It’s like parking the lunch truck out in Doug’s restaurant parking lot
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03-17-2020, 12:26 PM
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: El Paso, TX
Posts: 11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cderk
They are no where near having a vaccine... and probably wont for at least a year. Not sure where you got that misinformation.
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See below ....
Quote:
Originally Posted by rzbill
Trials by Moderna started today. Google it. But to your point, it's still a long way away. Both points in this thread are correct. Vaccine in test but a long way to wide availability.
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Moderna and 5 other companies genetic sequenced the virus and had their vaccine three days after sequencing. Problem comes from worrying about litigation, so you get the FDA mandated "human trials" for a year looking for adverse reactions and allergies. Israel is using there's already. The bill Trump passed allowing "heroic measure use" of any experimental drug applies to this - as long as you've signed off you won't sue Moderna et al.
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03-17-2020, 12:40 PM
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 4,285
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If there is a world wide depression it is possible some people may elect to sell their RV due to finances and be more flexible on price. If you think you might be a victim of financial hardship due to global depression one might suggest delay of major purchases. With that said don't count on a nice higher HP, CS prop, glass cockpit, AP, Pro paint/interior RV going cheap anytime soon. Sorry. It is likely infections and deaths will dramatically drop in 1-2 months. People will have developed natural immunity and vaccines & therapeutics will be developed and available within 12 months or sooner. How economy bounces back is anyone's guess. Lasting affects may go a few years. ((All my comments are WILD GUESSING))
__________________
George
Raleigh, NC Area
RV-4, RV-7, ATP, CFII, MEI, 737/757/767
2020 Dues Paid
Last edited by gmcjetpilot : 03-17-2020 at 12:44 PM.
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